Ukraine is planning a new counteroffensive for 2024. Where can it start?

Ukraine is planning a new counteroffensive for 2024. Where can it start?

We don't know what Ukraine’s next combat operation will look like, how big it will be, or from where it will be launched.

One of the things that didn’t work well in Ukraine’s 2023 counteroffensive was OpSec (operational security).

Too much information, including the complete battle plan, had been leaked (intentionally or not) by incompetent officials.

Hopefully, the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) have learned from their experiences. Training for the troops participating in future offensives has to be expanded. At the same time, there should be some changes at the leadership and planning levels.

Ready to strike: a Ukrainian tank crew in a standby position near the frontline. (Picture: Scott Peterson).

There's still a lot of work to do. At this moment, we are still months away from seeing the AFU putting a plan into action.

However, this doesn’t mean that we won’t see any Ukrainian attacks in the coming months. The AFU has very skilled and experienced troops at the frontline.

Whenever they see an opportunity, they will strike. And if one of these strikes should prove to be successful, they’ll quickly deploy more troops into the battle to seize victory.

In the end, against an enemy that has proven to be a skillful defender, a tactic that relies on surprise, initiative, and swift maneuvers, may promise more success than slow large-scale offensive campaigns.


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